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Should you use this strategy to find your lifelong partner?Does it mean you should swipe left on the first 37 attractive profiles on Tinder before or put the 37 guys who slide into your DMs on ‘seen’? The model provides the optimal solution assuming that you set strict dating rules for yourself: you have to set a specific number of candidates N, you have to come up with a ranking system that guarantees no tie (The idea of ranking people does not sit well with many), and once you reject somebody, you never consider them viable dating option again. Sadly, not everybody is there for you to accept or reject — X, when you meet them, might actually reject you!
You may wonder: “Hang on a minute, won’t I achieve the highest probability of finding the best person at a very small value of N? Based on the simulation, at N = 3, we can achieve the probability of success of up to 66% by simply choosing the third person every time.
Below is a graph that shows the optimal ratio M/N as we increase the number of candidates we consider.
There are some interesting observations here: as we increase the number of candidates N that we consider, not only does the optimal probability decreases and see to converge, so does the optimal ratio M/N.
T — T)Nowadays, we spend countless hours every week clicking through profiles and messaging people we find attractive on Tinder or Subtle Asian Dating. Before we explore the optimal dating policy, let’s start with a simple approach. Alright, you probably will not date 10,000 people in 20 years but even the small odds of 1/100 is enough to make me feel that this is not a great dating policy. That is, instead of committing to the first option that comes along, we want to meet a couple of potential partners, explore the quality of our dating fields and start to settle down.
And when you finally ‘get it’, you know how to take the perfect selfies for your Tinder’s profile and you have no trouble inviting that cute girl in your Korean class to dinner, you would think that it shouldn’t be hard to find Mr/Mrs. What if you are so desperate to get matched on Tinder or to get dates that you decide to settle/marry the first person that comes along? So there’s an exploring part and a settling-down part to this dating game.